{"id":6557,"date":"2017-03-21T12:22:14","date_gmt":"2017-03-21T10:22:14","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.geology.com.ua\/?page_id=6557"},"modified":"2017-10-31T17:23:23","modified_gmt":"2017-10-31T15:23:23","slug":"geoinformatika-2017-161-80-89","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"http:\/\/www.geology.com.ua\/en\/geoinformatika-2017-161-80-89\/","title":{"rendered":"Geoinformatika 2017; 1(61) : 80-89"},"content":{"rendered":"

Geoinformatika 2017; 1(61) : 80-89\u00a0<\/em>(in Ukrainian)<\/em><\/p>\n

GEOLOGICAL-DEMOGRAPHIC MODEL OF THE EARTH\u2019S HUMAN POPULATION PROCESS. PART II<\/h4>\n
A.V. Khtema<\/em>1<\/sup><\/em>, V.M. Khtema <\/em><\/h5>\n
1<\/sup><\/em>Limited Liability Company \u201cProm-energy product\u201d, 5, Dimitrova Str., Kyiv, 03150, Ukraine, e-mail: anna.khtema@gmail.com<\/em><\/h5>\n

Purpose. <\/strong>Development of geological-demographic model of the Earth\u2019s human population process with long-term forecasting element. Getting digital and graphic format of the information about probable value of parameters of human population process over various scenarios and variants of its development.
\nDesign\/methodology\/approach. <\/strong>Comparison of cosmophysical model of Earth\u2019s evolutionary development with demographic model of hyperbolic population growth. Also comparison scheme of first human beings appearance with typical scheme of branching chain reaction. We were using anthropic principle and feedback mechanism, statistic methods of demographic data processing, empirical relationship and space-stratigraphic ranking of the earth-type planets.
\nFindings. <\/strong>Consequently as a result the geological-demographic model was created. The forecast of continuance of human population process was made. This process starts from the time of first human beings appearance till the time of last human beings disappearance. The last human beings considered to be creature that critically depends on planet\u2019s energy condition.
\nPractical value\/implications. <\/strong>The benefits of this study \u2013 received unobserved and not measured before geological-demographic and astronomical data. This data allows extend theoretical and practical possibilities of geoinformatics, demography and astrobiology. As a result it will make possible to upgrade validity of long-time demographic and cosmologic predictions. Further directions for geological-demographic research preferred to associate with spatially-temporal localization of areas with the minimum intensity and capacity of physical-geological and climatic processes in the future.<\/p>\n

\u041a<\/strong>eywords: <\/strong>geology, demographics, model, forecast, process, time.<\/p>\n

The full text of papers will be available after 01\/10\/2018<\/span><\/em>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

    \r\n

  • References:<\/h2>

    <\/strong><\/p>\n

      \n
    1. Inoplanetiany mozhut vvazhaty Zemliu bezliudnoiu. Available at: http:\/\/hitech-news.ru\/2016\/02\/06\/inoplanetyani-mozhut-vvazhati-zemlyu-bezlyudnoyu \/ (Accessed 30 March 2016) [in Ukrainian].<\/li>\n
    2. Klayn M., Arshinova V.I., Sachkova Yu.V. Matematika. Poisk istiny. Moscow, Mir, 1988, 295 p. [in Russian].<\/li>\n
    3. U SShA stvoreno prynter dlia vyrobnytstva liudskykh orhaniv. Available at: http:\/\/www.ukrinform.ua\/rubric-technology\/1966515-u-ssa-stvoreno-printer-dla-virobnictva-ludskih-organiv.html (Accessed 30 March 2016) [in Ukrainian].<\/li>\n
    4. Khtema A.V., Khtema V.M. Time parameters of water-gas-bearing sedimentary rocks based on the results of creation and application of datum geochronograph. Part I. Geoinformatika, <\/em>2016, no. 2, pp. 24-37 [in Ukrainian].<\/li>\n
    5. Khtema A.V., Khtema V.M. Time parameters of water-gas-bearing sedimentary rocks based on the results of creation and application of datum geochronograph. Part II. Geoinformatika, <\/em>2016, no. 3, pp. 5-13 [in Ukrainian].<\/li>\n
    6. Khtema A.V., Khtema V.M. <\/em>Geological-demographic model of the earth\u2019s human population process. Part I. Geoinformatika, <\/em>2016, no. 3, pp. 83-91 [in Ukrainian].<\/li>\n
    7. Emiratskie novosti. Available at: http:\/\/russianhome.com\/news\/1384270192.shtml (Accessed 30 March 2016) [in Russian].<\/li>\n
    8. Newsweek: \u201cChasy sudnogo dnya\u201d po-prezhnemu pokazyvayut bez trekh minut polnoch\u2019. Available at: http:\/\/glavnoe.ua\/news\/n257703 (Accessed 30 March 2016) [in Russian].<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

      \u00a0<\/p>\n<\/div><\/li> <\/ul>\n

      <\/strong><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      Geoinformatika 2017; 1(61) : 80-89\u00a0(in Ukrainian) GEOLOGICAL-DEMOGRAPHIC MODEL OF THE EARTH\u2019S HUMAN POPULATION PROCESS. PART II A.V. Khtema1, V.M. Khtema 1Limited Liability Company \u201cProm-energy product\u201d, 5, Dimitrova Str., Kyiv, 03150, Ukraine, e-mail: anna.khtema@gmail.com Purpose. Development of geological-demographic model of the Earth\u2019s human population process with long-term forecasting element. Getting digital and graphic format of the information about probable value of parameters of human population process over various scenarios and variants of its development. Design\/methodology\/approach. Comparison of cosmophysical model of Earth\u2019s evolutionary development with demographic model of hyperbolic population growth. Also comparison scheme of first human beings appearance with typical scheme of branching chain reaction. We were using anthropic principle and feedback mechanism, statistic methods of demographic data processing, empirical relationship and space-stratigraphic ranking of the earth-type planets. Findings. Consequently as a result the geological-demographic model was created. The forecast of continuance of human population process was made. This process starts from the time of first human beings appearance till the time of last human beings disappearance. The last human beings considered to be creature that critically depends on planet\u2019s energy condition. Practical value\/implications. The benefits of this study \u2013 received unobserved and not measured before geological-demographic and astronomical data. This data allows extend theoretical and practical possibilities of geoinformatics, demography and astrobiology. As a result it will make possible to upgrade validity of long-time demographic and cosmologic predictions. Further directions for geological-demographic research preferred to associate with spatially-temporal localization of areas with the minimum intensity and capacity of physical-geological and climatic processes in the future. \u041aeywords: geology, demographics, model, forecast, process, time. The full text of papers will be available after 01\/10\/2018\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-6557","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"yoast_head":"\nGeoinformatika 2017; 1(61) : 80-89 - \u0421\u0430\u0439\u0442 \u0436\u0443\u0440\u043d\u0430\u043b\u0443 \u00ab\u0413\u0435\u043e\u0456\u043d\u0444\u043e\u0440\u043c\u0430\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0430\u00bb<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"http:\/\/www.geology.com.ua\/en\/geoinformatika-2017-161-80-89\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Geoinformatika 2017; 1(61) : 80-89 - \u0421\u0430\u0439\u0442 \u0436\u0443\u0440\u043d\u0430\u043b\u0443 \u00ab\u0413\u0435\u043e\u0456\u043d\u0444\u043e\u0440\u043c\u0430\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0430\u00bb\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Geoinformatika 2017; 1(61) : 80-89\u00a0(in Ukrainian) GEOLOGICAL-DEMOGRAPHIC MODEL OF THE EARTH\u2019S HUMAN POPULATION PROCESS. PART II A.V. Khtema1, V.M. Khtema 1Limited Liability Company \u201cProm-energy product\u201d, 5, Dimitrova Str., Kyiv, 03150, Ukraine, e-mail: anna.khtema@gmail.com Purpose. Development of geological-demographic model of the Earth\u2019s human population process with long-term forecasting element. Getting digital and graphic format of the information about probable value of parameters of human population process over various scenarios and variants of its development. Design\/methodology\/approach. Comparison of cosmophysical model of Earth\u2019s evolutionary development with demographic model of hyperbolic population growth. Also comparison scheme of first human beings appearance with typical scheme of branching chain reaction. We were using anthropic principle and feedback mechanism, statistic methods of demographic data processing, empirical relationship and space-stratigraphic ranking of the earth-type planets. Findings. Consequently as a result the geological-demographic model was created. The forecast of continuance of human population process was made. This process starts from the time of first human beings appearance till the time of last human beings disappearance. The last human beings considered to be creature that critically depends on planet\u2019s energy condition. Practical value\/implications. The benefits of this study \u2013 received unobserved and not measured before geological-demographic and astronomical data. This data allows extend theoretical and practical possibilities of geoinformatics, demography and astrobiology. As a result it will make possible to upgrade validity of long-time demographic and cosmologic predictions. Further directions for geological-demographic research preferred to associate with spatially-temporal localization of areas with the minimum intensity and capacity of physical-geological and climatic processes in the future. \u041aeywords: geology, demographics, model, forecast, process, time. The full text of papers will be available after 01\/10\/2018\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"http:\/\/www.geology.com.ua\/en\/geoinformatika-2017-161-80-89\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"\u0421\u0430\u0439\u0442 \u0436\u0443\u0440\u043d\u0430\u043b\u0443 \u00ab\u0413\u0435\u043e\u0456\u043d\u0444\u043e\u0440\u043c\u0430\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0430\u00bb\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2017-10-31T15:23:23+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"http:\\\/\\\/www.geology.com.ua\\\/en\\\/geoinformatika-2017-161-80-89\\\/\",\"url\":\"http:\\\/\\\/www.geology.com.ua\\\/en\\\/geoinformatika-2017-161-80-89\\\/\",\"name\":\"Geoinformatika 2017; 1(61) : 80-89 - \u0421\u0430\u0439\u0442 \u0436\u0443\u0440\u043d\u0430\u043b\u0443 \u00ab\u0413\u0435\u043e\u0456\u043d\u0444\u043e\u0440\u043c\u0430\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0430\u00bb\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"http:\\\/\\\/www.geology.com.ua\\\/en\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2017-03-21T10:22:14+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2017-10-31T15:23:23+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"http:\\\/\\\/www.geology.com.ua\\\/en\\\/geoinformatika-2017-161-80-89\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[[\"http:\\\/\\\/www.geology.com.ua\\\/en\\\/geoinformatika-2017-161-80-89\\\/\"]]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"http:\\\/\\\/www.geology.com.ua\\\/en\\\/geoinformatika-2017-161-80-89\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"http:\\\/\\\/www.geology.com.ua\\\/en\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Geoinformatika 2017; 1(61) : 80-89\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"http:\\\/\\\/www.geology.com.ua\\\/en\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"http:\\\/\\\/www.geology.com.ua\\\/en\\\/\",\"name\":\"\u0421\u0430\u0439\u0442 \u0436\u0443\u0440\u043d\u0430\u043b\u0443 \u00ab\u0413\u0435\u043e\u0456\u043d\u0444\u043e\u0440\u043c\u0430\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0430\u00bb\",\"description\":\"\u0426\u0435\u043d\u0442\u0440 \u043c\u0435\u043d\u0435\u0434\u0436\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0442\u0443 \u0442\u0430 \u043c\u0430\u0440\u043a\u0435\u0442\u0438\u043d\u0433\u0443 \u0432 \u0433\u0430\u043b\u0443\u0437\u0456 \u043d\u0430\u0443\u043a \u043f\u0440\u043e \u0417\u0435\u043c\u043b\u044e\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"http:\\\/\\\/www.geology.com.ua\\\/en\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Geoinformatika 2017; 1(61) : 80-89 - \u0421\u0430\u0439\u0442 \u0436\u0443\u0440\u043d\u0430\u043b\u0443 \u00ab\u0413\u0435\u043e\u0456\u043d\u0444\u043e\u0440\u043c\u0430\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0430\u00bb","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"http:\/\/www.geology.com.ua\/en\/geoinformatika-2017-161-80-89\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Geoinformatika 2017; 1(61) : 80-89 - \u0421\u0430\u0439\u0442 \u0436\u0443\u0440\u043d\u0430\u043b\u0443 \u00ab\u0413\u0435\u043e\u0456\u043d\u0444\u043e\u0440\u043c\u0430\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0430\u00bb","og_description":"Geoinformatika 2017; 1(61) : 80-89\u00a0(in Ukrainian) GEOLOGICAL-DEMOGRAPHIC MODEL OF THE EARTH\u2019S HUMAN POPULATION PROCESS. PART II A.V. Khtema1, V.M. Khtema 1Limited Liability Company \u201cProm-energy product\u201d, 5, Dimitrova Str., Kyiv, 03150, Ukraine, e-mail: anna.khtema@gmail.com Purpose. Development of geological-demographic model of the Earth\u2019s human population process with long-term forecasting element. Getting digital and graphic format of the information about probable value of parameters of human population process over various scenarios and variants of its development. Design\/methodology\/approach. Comparison of cosmophysical model of Earth\u2019s evolutionary development with demographic model of hyperbolic population growth. Also comparison scheme of first human beings appearance with typical scheme of branching chain reaction. We were using anthropic principle and feedback mechanism, statistic methods of demographic data processing, empirical relationship and space-stratigraphic ranking of the earth-type planets. Findings. Consequently as a result the geological-demographic model was created. The forecast of continuance of human population process was made. This process starts from the time of first human beings appearance till the time of last human beings disappearance. The last human beings considered to be creature that critically depends on planet\u2019s energy condition. Practical value\/implications. The benefits of this study \u2013 received unobserved and not measured before geological-demographic and astronomical data. This data allows extend theoretical and practical possibilities of geoinformatics, demography and astrobiology. As a result it will make possible to upgrade validity of long-time demographic and cosmologic predictions. Further directions for geological-demographic research preferred to associate with spatially-temporal localization of areas with the minimum intensity and capacity of physical-geological and climatic processes in the future. \u041aeywords: geology, demographics, model, forecast, process, time. 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